Obama = President
Hillary = Chief of Staff
HRC did score some impressive wins in Massachusettes and Tennessee. She will probably be able to kill the clock in California. Make no mistake though, had this election taken place on February 12, it would be an Obama landslide. Given Clinton’s incredible advantage in name recognition (especially in states that had no reason to pay attention during the Iowa and New Hampshire marathon) and her machine, and her early votes when she was the presumptive champ, Obama’s wins in Delaware and Connecticut are remarkable. His blow out vicotries in Minnesota, Colorado and throughout the plains states are even more so.
Clinton has built in advantages throughout the country, but the more he campaigns the better Obama does. As we move into contests that are smaller geographically this augurs well for his victory through the long slog.
I relish an Obama versus McCain showdown. End The War vs. Stay For a Hundred Years = Democratic landslide — especially if Hucksterbee scores a spot on the Conservatron ticket.
I’m a staunch Hillaryist, right? OK, well, if the exit polls below are accurate, then I would encourage her to drop out.
Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26
Connecticut: Obama 52, Clinton 45
Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 29
Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton – 37
Delaware Obama 56, Clinton 42
Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 47
Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 45
Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41
New York: Clinton 56, Obama 42
New Jersey: Obama 52, Clinton 47
Arkansas: Clinton 71, Obama 26
Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 30
Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45
New Mexico: Obama 52, Clinton 46
Utah: Obama 60, Clinton 40
California: Clinton 50, Obama 46
As I pointed out last week, tomorrow is not going to settle anything.
Some people are saying Clinton needs to end up with 200 more delegates than Obama to knock him out. I don’t think that’s going to happen. I also don’t think Obama is going to knock Clinton out.
At some point, this will stop being interesting. And if does end up being the super delegates that decide it — that’s going to stain whoever the winner is.
At this point I would almost be relieved if Obama would just take it so that I can stop hearing all of this 90s revisionism, but there’s a big part of me that just wants to see the Obamabots cry–even if they ultimately win.
And Sibelius was a dud after the State of the Union. I wonder whom else he might pick.
The latest polling still indicates that no one will be knocked out tomorrow on the Democratic side. I’m happy with either candidate, but here’s what I want to see from both of them if they become the nominee:
Prove you can appeal to independents. Prove to younger voters that they have their 90s history all wrong, and that with Congress on your side, you can make sweeping change. You should also probably make efforts to get Obama on the ticket.
Why are you being so cautious on health care? It doesn’t match with your transformational rhetoric. Appealing to the middle is one thing, but you can’t transform politics by compromising on everything. Precise detail of how you are going to implement what you are going to implement.
My wife’s cousin who is fairly well connected to Democratic insiders thinks either Obama or Hilary would win in 2008, but that Obama has set the goalposts so high that he might have trouble getting reelected if he doesn’t deliver on all of his promises.
I won’t pretend to look that far ahead. All I can say is, I’m very surprised that the left has accepted Obama as it’s messianic figure, who is anything but to the left. Howard Dean was more to my tastes.