I’m going to start picking fights about 2008 already. There’s just no way I can support Obama in the primary.

I’m fond of the guy on some levels. He was the commencement speaker at my law school, and it was a damn good speech. He topped it at the Democratic National Convention. But President?

Sure, he speaks well. His story is melting-pot Horatio Alger Americana to the core. But he’s a first term senator. His large margin of victory was mostly due to his opponent’s implosion and replacement by psycho-carpetbagger Alan Keyes.

I found his failure to support Ned Lamont despicable, but he was hardly alone in that regard. Also, my lack of support for him has nothing to do with his being black. I honestly don’t think that matters to the swing voter anymore. I’m not saying he’ll win in Alabama, but will any Democrat not named George Wallace?

Of course “first term senator” is only marginally less qualified than Hillary herself (if–big if–you discount the fact that she really did play an important role as a close adviser to Bill). Also, some of the most qualified people have made shitty presidents (Bush I, Nixon) or shitty candidates (Gore 2000, Nixon 1960, Mondale).

But it goes deeper than that. I feel like Obama is just a face and a talker. It’s soothing talk, and a good face, but I feel more and more that there’s not as much substance there. The Lamont defection partially showed me that, but so have some of his votes.

He’s just not ready to be on the top of the ticket. If he’d agree to run with Hillary early, I think that race is over, and Lieberman’s impending defection to join John McCain will lead to a battle royale.