Bush: AK, ID, MT, WY, UT, AZ, CO, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, TX, MO, AR, LA, IN, OH, KY, TN, MS, AL, WV, VA, NC, SC, GA, FL = 269 electoral votes.
Kerry: HI, WA, OR, CA, NV, NM, MN, IA, WI, IL, MI, PA, DC, MD, DE, NJ, CT, MA, RI, NY, VT, NH, ME = 269 electoral votes.
That’s a pretty plausible scenario. It’s 2000 with the updated 2004 electoral vote distribution, NH and NV to Kerry, where he has at times led in the polls.
Then it goes to the House, be delegation that would be 30-16 for Bush, unless there’s a big change. If the Senate swings Dem, John Edwards would be VP.
Imagine: a two term president with each term having an asterik next to it!